Athabasca Oil Corp Stock Performance

ATHOF Stock  USD 6.32  0.39  6.58%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Athabasca Oil holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.62, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Athabasca Oil's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Athabasca Oil is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Athabasca Oil's downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Athabasca Oil's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Athabasca Oil Corp are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Athabasca Oil reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow165.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities22.7 M
  

Athabasca Oil Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  520.00  in Athabasca Oil Corp on November 11, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  112.00  from holding Athabasca Oil Corp or generate 21.54% return on investment over 90 days. Athabasca Oil Corp is currently producing 0.354% returns and takes up 2.622% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 23% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Athabasca, and 93% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Athabasca Oil is expected to generate 3.25 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.25 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Athabasca Oil Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Athabasca Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 6.32 90 days 6.32 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Athabasca Oil to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Athabasca Oil Corp probability density function shows the probability of Athabasca Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Athabasca Oil has a beta of 0.62. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Athabasca Oil average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Athabasca Oil Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Athabasca Oil Corp has an alpha of 0.3193, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Athabasca Oil Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Athabasca Oil

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Athabasca Oil Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.706.328.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.527.149.76
Details

Athabasca Oil Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Athabasca Oil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Athabasca Oil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Athabasca Oil Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Athabasca Oil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.62
σ
Overall volatility
0.38
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Athabasca Oil Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Athabasca Oil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Athabasca Oil Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Athabasca Oil Corp has accumulated 309.55 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.25, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Athabasca Oil Corp has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Athabasca Oil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Athabasca Oil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Athabasca Oil Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Athabasca to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Athabasca Oil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Athabasca Oil Fundamentals Growth

Athabasca Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Athabasca Oil, and Athabasca Oil fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Athabasca Pink Sheet performance.

About Athabasca Oil Performance

By analyzing Athabasca Oil's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Athabasca Oil's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Athabasca Oil has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Athabasca Oil has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Athabasca Oil Corporation engages in the exploration, development, and production of light and thermal oil resource plays in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin in Alberta, Canada. Athabasca Oil Corporation was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada. Athabasca Oil operates under Oil Gas EP classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 146 people.

Things to note about Athabasca Oil Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Athabasca Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Athabasca Oil Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Athabasca Oil Corp has accumulated 309.55 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.25, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Athabasca Oil Corp has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Athabasca Oil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Athabasca Oil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Athabasca Oil Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Athabasca to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Athabasca Oil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Evaluating Athabasca Oil's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Athabasca Oil's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Athabasca Oil's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Athabasca Oil's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Athabasca Oil's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Athabasca Oil's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Athabasca Oil's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Athabasca Oil's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Athabasca Oil's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Athabasca Oil's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Athabasca Oil's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Athabasca Oil's price analysis, check to measure Athabasca Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Athabasca Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Athabasca Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Athabasca Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Athabasca Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Athabasca Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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